Yeruusaalem, 21 Oktoobar, 2026 (TPS-IL) — Cilmi-baadhayaal ka socda Tel Abiib Jaamacadda ayaa falanqeeyay 1,014,122 saadaal oo ka yimid afar madal oo waaweyn oo saadaal ah: Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, iyo Metaculus. Daraasadda, oo lagu daabacay Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), ayaa baadhay saadaal ka yimid 12 qaybood muddo toban sano ah, oo ay ku jiraan doorashooyinka, siyaasadda adduunka, amniga, iyo tignoolajiyada.
Guud ahaan, saadaasha la bixiyay waxay si dhow ugu dhawaatay natiijooyinka dhabta ah. Dhacdooyinka loo qoondeeyay 70% fursad waxay guud ahaan ku dhaceen heerkaas oo kale. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, saxnaanta way ku kala duwanayd mawduucyada. Suuqa ayaa si joogto ah u kordhiyay suurtagalnimada dhacdooyinka ku lug leh dagaalka milatariga, siyaasadda adduunka iyo tignoolajiyada, iyadoo hoos u dhigtay natiijooyinka la xiriira doorashooyinka qaybo ka mid ah baaxadda fursadda.
Waxaa hoggaaminayay Professor Michael Gilead oo ka socda Tel Abiib Jaamacadda School of Psychological Sciences, cilmi-baarista ayaa sidoo kale lagu ogaaday in saadaasha ay noqdeen kuwo wax badan ka taraya marka ay u dhawaanayso waqtiga kama dambaysta ah. Xiriir wanaagsan ayaa mar horeba muuqday ka dib 25% oo keliya oo ka mid ah waqtigii loo qoondeeyay saadaasha oo dhammaaday.
